Market Liquidity and Value Gaps in $1 Million Haskell Stakes
AI-generated image · US National Wire
Analysis of morning-line odds reveals a tight cluster of favorites as the industry weighs Further Ado's speed figures against Napoleon Solo's Preakness victory.
The $1 million NYRA Bets Haskell Stakes at Monmouth Park arrives with a concentrated odds board, as the morning line features four horses priced at 7-2 or shorter. According to reporting from Yahoo Sports and CBS Sports, Further Ado enters as the 2-1 morning-line favorite, followed by Preakness winner Napoleon Solo at 5-2, Iron Honor at 3-1, and The Puma at 7-2.
Industry analysts are divided on whether the 2-1 price on Further Ado represents value. Gene Menez, writing for SportsLine via CBS Sports, notes that while Further Ado's Blue Grass Stakes win was one of the best 3-year-old performances of the year, the horse has struggled to string together consecutive fast efforts and finished 11th in the Kentucky Derby. Menez stated that at 2-1, the favorite would win without his money.
Conversely, Yahoo Sports highlights that Further Ado holds the field's fastest Beyer Speed Figure (106) from the Blue Grass Stakes. Other market drivers include Napoleon Solo, who is viewed by Asbury Park Press writer Steven Falk as the primary speed threat in a traditionally speed-favoring environment. Additionally, The Puma is noted as a potential value play; per Yahoo Sports, the colt has a previous victory over Further Ado in the Tampa Derby, though he enters the race following a 3 1/2 month layoff due to a leg injury.
Other contenders in the field include Ocelli at 6-1, Baby Vino at 15-1, and Star Sweeper at 30-1.